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With the Pacific G10 Macro Rates Team

Global Macro Overview
Last week was very quiet within G10 markets after the unexpected volatility experienced over the first week of 2020, driven by the uncertainty in the Middle East. The S&P 500 finished the week at new highs, rates and currencies were mostly range-bound, as a result volatility continued to slide lower. US and China signed the Phase 1 deal, without any surprises. Data continued to point at stabilisation and recovery in Asia-Pacific economies, which should be beneficial for the countries whose economies are reliant on trade (Europe and Japan). 

Latest G10 Macro Rates Blog
With Shayne Dunlap, Co-Portfolio Manager

Trump started the new year and decade unleashing an armed drone from somewhere above Baghdad airport. Is this a forbear to a new period of uncertainty and a return of higher volatility?   

Emerging Markets – 2019 Review
From the North of South Capital team

Global Emerging Market equities finished the year on a strong note in December, with the fund returning 20.7% for 2019 – ahead of the MSCI Emerging Markets index by 2.3%. This marks the fourth consecutive year of outperformance and the sixth out of eight calendar years that North of South has been managing this long only strategy with a focus on Value. 

With the Pacific G10 Macro Rates Team

Global Macro Overview
Last week marked the first week of normal business and liquidity in the bond and interest rate markets, as demostrated by over $1 trillion of bond issuance. 

CIO Monthly View with Will Bartleet, CIO and multi-asset portfolio manager at Pacific Asset Management

Equity markets ended the year in a jubilant mood as the US and China agreed phase one of a trade deal, signalling the first de-escalation of a trade war that started almost two years ago. What started with tariffs on washing machines and solar panels ramped up with self-proclaimed “Tariff Man” Trump imposing $360 billion levies on Chinese goods.  

With the Pacific G10 Macro Rates Team

Steady as she goes
December rounded off the year in a relatively benign way. US equities kept rallying, whilst the UST 10yr drifted up 14bp from 1.78 to 1.92 and the UST 2-10 curve steepened gradually from 16 to 34 bp.  

With the Pacific G10 Macro Rates Team

Global Macro Overview
As one would expect going into the seasonal holidays, last week was a relatively quiet week for the financial markets.  There was no new information and the data has been broadly consistent with the resilient economic growth. 

Latest G10 Macro Rates Blog
With Shayne Dunlap, Co-Portfolio Manager

Trump was impeached last night, the third president in US history, however the market couldn’t have cared less. FX and rates unchanged, nada, flatline. The partisan lines are so heavily drawn that they may as well be the fictional “wall” between the US and Mexico.  

With the Pacific G10 Macro Rates Team

Global Macro Overview
Last week saw two Central Bank meetings, the UK election and another round of twitter posts, rumours and official statements about the US-China trade conflict. 

Early analysis with Will Bartleet, CIO and multi-asset portfolio manager at Pacific Asset Management

Last night the Conservative party won a decisive victory over Labour with the largest majority since 1987. With the final votes being counted, it is clear that Boris Johnson’s party will have sufficient control over parliament to leave the European Union on 31st January. This leaves eleven months to undertake trade negotiations which are due to be concluded by the end of 2020.